Laredo's
release today states that they "have reduced the risk and uncertainty
associated with this entire acreage block for vertical development of the
Wolfberry interval." They are referring to their Wolfberry Garden City block which runs from the southern edge of Howard County and through Glasscock and Sterling Counties. As Lynden's Wind Farms property is on the
eastern edge of Laredo's Permian Garden City acreage, Laredo is implying that LVL's Wind
Farms property is also derisked. One can begin to value LVL's Wind Farms property at $40,000/acre similar to their recent sale to Breitburn. Also, Wind Farms has Cline potential as
well.
Here
is the statement from Laredo's release:
"The Company increased its Permian-Garden City acreage
holdings to approximately 145,800 net acres at year-end 2012. Drilling results
from more than 800 vertical wells, of which approximately 250 are deep vertical
wells, have reduced the risk and uncertainty ("de-risked") associated
with this entire acreage block for vertical development of the Wolfberry
interval. In addition, based on actual production history from the Company's
horizontal wells that have been correlated with core analysis, single-zone tests
and supporting industry activity, the Company now believes that it has
de-risked the effective equivalent of approximately 360,000 net acres in the
Permian-Garden City area for horizontal development from the four stacked
zones. By zone, the de-risked acreage consists of approximately 80,000 net
acres in the Upper Wolfcamp, approximately 80,000 net acres in the Middle
Wolfcamp, approximately 73,000 net acres in the Lower Wolfcamp and
approximately 127,000 net acres in the Cline shale. There is significant overlap
of the de-risked acreage by zone that provides development opportunities for
multiple stacked laterals to utilize common drilling pads and surface
facilities. A pilot program to test the vertical and horizontal spacing
criteria of the development laterals, within the four stacked zones, is
expected to begin in the second quarter of 2013. In addition, the delineation
program will continue in 2013 to de-risk additional acreage, by zone, for
horizontal development."
Given
that Wind Farms is surrounded by Pioneer on the west, Laredo on the east, Range
to the north and Apache to the north and south, Wind Farms is very well positioned. It
seems easy to calculate LVL's Wolfberry value and see that Lynden’s Wolfberry pieces alone
support a much higher price.
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